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Annex A: Explanation of DCA ratings
The Delivery Confidence Assessment (DCA) is the IPA’s evaluation of a project’s likelihood of achieving its aims and objectives, and doing so on time and on budget.
Green
Successful delivery of the project on time, budget and quality appears highly likely and there are no major outstanding issues that at this stage appear to threaten delivery significantly.
Amber/Green
Successful delivery appears probable; however, constant attention will be needed to ensure risks do not materialise into major issues threatening delivery.
Amber
Successful delivery appears feasible but significant issues already exist, requiring management attention. These appear resolvable at this stage and, if addressed promptly, should not present a cost/schedule overrun.
Amber/Red
Successful delivery of the project is in doubt, with major risks or issues apparent in a number of key areas. Urgent action is needed to address these problems and/or assess whether resolution is feasible.
Red
Successful delivery of the project appears to be unachievable. There are major issues with project definition, schedule, budget, quality and/or benefits delivery, which at this stage do not appear to be manageable or resolvable. The project may need re-scoping and/or its overall viability reassessed.
Reset
A significant change to a project’s baseline which involves a business case refresh or change.
Exempt
Data can be exempt from publication under exceptional circumstances and in accordance with Freedom of Information requirements i.e national security.
MOD Government Major Projects Portfolio data, 2018
https://www.gov.uk/government/publicati ... -data-2018Project Name
Department
- Lightning Programme
IPA Delivery Confidence Assessment
- MoD
(A Delivery Confidence Assessment of the project at a fixed point in time, using a five-point scale, Red – Amber/Red – Amber – Amber/Green – Green; definitions in the MPA Annual Report)
Description/Aims
- Amber/Red
Departmental commentary on actions planned or taken on the IPA RAG rating.
- The Lighting Programme will deliver a true multi-role, carrier-capable strike asset to be operated jointly by the RAF and RN, which will provide the UK with a survivable, sustainable, expeditionary, 5th Generation air capability to contribute to the widest possible range of operations.
Project - Start Date
- Delivery confidence within the Lightning Programme remains AMBER/RED following a downgrade by the SRO in the last quarter to reflect the significant challenges that exist within a taut schedule. Following significant cross-party effort, progress has been made around UK weapons integration to deliver Initial Operating Capability (IOC). Similarly, although representative simulator training remains as a key risk, the OEM are proposing mitigations which will provide the necessary training to our pilots. Further pressure remains in our Operational Test area, where there is a continued need to ensure that our Test teams have appropriate early access to capabilities; together with DE&S DT Lead, the Team continues to successfully progress these issues with US authorities. The continued uplift of DE&S personnel into the DT is very positive, and, whilst it will take some time to ensure they are fully trained and familiar with this complex programme, will offer enhanced capacity and strategic depth for the UK F-35 enterprise.
(Latest approved start date)
Project - End Date
- 01.10.2001
(Latest approved end date)
Departmental narrative on schedule, including any deviation from planned schedule (if necessary)
- 31.03.2035
2017/18 TOTAL Baseline £m
- The schedule for the UK F-35 Programme is taut, but remains on track to deliver UK IOC by Dec 2018, and also remains on track to deliver IOC-Maritime and Full Operating Capability.
(including Non-Government costs)
2017/18 TOTAL Forecast £m
- £ 935,45
(including Non-Government costs)
2017/2018 Variance %age
- £ 903,35
Whole Life Cost TOTAL Baseline £m
- -3,43150355443905%
(including Non-Government costs)
Departmental narrative on budget/forecast variance for 2017/18
- £ 10109,38
(if variance is more than 5%)
Departmental Narrative on Budgeted Whole Life Costs
- Despite exchange rate adjustments now being delegated down for absorption in the Programme, the variance in budget remains within tolerence at less than 5%.
- The forecast whole life costs continue to deliver the following:
a. Production of main phase of approved a/c buy due to be completed in 2024 (Includes Aircraft and Equipment procurement).
b. Through life capability development and obsolescence management.
c. Delivery of unique sovereignty capabilities.
d. UK contribution to production, sustainment & follow-on development.
e. UK development & integration (including Ship, Weapons and Main Operating Base).
f. UK participation in Initial Operational Test & Evaluation
g. Through-life programme sustainment
h. DIO Infrastructure.
As the Programme moves through LRIPs, URF costs continue to see a reduction in line with the Cost Learner Curve.
F-35 Lightning II in Europa (Joint Strike Fighter)
http://www.doppeladler.com/forum/viewto ... f=7&t=1827